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Aperture & Focus 2025: Week 52
Global Aperture
Global air cargo volumes softened slightly in mid-December versus the prior week, but the broader Q4 picture still pointed to steady year-on-year growth, following a stronger November. Industry commentary also noted a “less spiky” peak season than recent years, with demand supported by major trade lanes and e-commerce flows.
More major shipping companies are preparing for a cautious return to the Suez Canal after two years of Red Sea security risks forced longer reroutes around Africa, with an October ceasefire prompting fresh scenario planning but safety still the key constraint. Some operators have begun limited test transits and signaled any wider restart would be gradual, likely requiring a 60–90-day transition to realign schedules and avoid port congestion.
Beginning Tuesday, China said it will start imposing provisional tariffs of 21.9% to 42.7% on EU dairy imports (including milk and multiple cheeses) citing preliminary findings from a subsidy investigation launched in August 2024. The move escalates the EU-China trade dispute tied to the EU’s EV subsidy probe and tariffs on China-made EVs, with the European Commission calling China’s dairy measures unjustified and saying it will respond.