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Aperture & Focus 2026: Week 4
Global Aperture
The European Parliament suspended approval of a U.S.–European Union trade agreement on January 21, 2026, following renewed political tensions after U.S. statements regarding Greenland raised concerns about a return to confrontational trade measures. While U.S. officials later signaled a pause on new tariff actions, the delay introduces near-term uncertainty for transatlantic trade planning until parliamentary approval efforts resume.
Major container lines are gradually returning ships to the Red Sea and Suez Canal as security conditions improve, marking a step toward normalization of East–West trade routes after more than two years of diversions. During the first half of its fiscal year (July 1, 2025 through December 31, 2025), Suez Canal traffic increased 5.8 percent year over year, while A.P. Moller-Maersk announced that it had redirected a regular service through the canal. However, routing decisions remain fluid, with CMA CGM announcing on January 20, 2026 that it would reroute several services back around the Cape of Good Hope, underscoring that carriers continue to adjust plans based on evolving regional conditions.
Global air cargo began 2026 with strong momentum according to market analytics firm World ACD, as volumes in the first full week ending January 11th, 2026 rose 5% year over year, led by Middle East & South Asia (+16%), Asia Pacific (+8%), and North America (+7%), though growth is amplified by a slow start to 2025. Despite the rebound, the market outlook remains uncertain as freighter capacity continues to return and the gradual resumption of container shipping via the Red Sea/Suez Canal could pressure air cargo demand later in the year.